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Nobel Peace Prize bets for Russian dissident’s widow surge on Polymarket

First reported 8 Oct, 15:43 UTCUpdated 2d ago4 sources

16:9

1 left · 3 center · 0 right · Full breakdown

A leak in 2025 set an unusual betting surge behind the eventual winner, Maria Corina Machado.

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How outlets on each side framed it

From the Left
What happened to Maria Corina Machado, the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner?

María Corina Machado was forced to flee her home country but has not been able to return despite the U.S. removing president Nicolas Maduro from power. Jessie Williams reports on her supporters’ hopes she will one day come back to lead them

From the Center
Nobel Peace Prize Bets for Navalny Widow Miss the Mark

Bets for who will take home the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize surged in the hours before the announcement on Polymarket, echoing similar events a year ago when a website hacking likely leaked the winner’s name.

From the Right

No right-leaning outlet in our index has covered this yet.

Full coverage

4 outlets — tap a headline to read it at the source

  1. The IndependentLean LeftGBMostly factual
    What happened to Maria Corina Machado, the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize winner? (opens The Independent in a new tab)

    María Corina Machado was forced to flee her home country but has not been able to return despite the U.S. removing president Nicolas Maduro from power. Jessie Williams reports on her supporters’ hopes she will one day come back to lead them

  2. The Straits TimesCenterSGHigh factuality
    Venezuelan ex-judge says forced to sign Machado election ban (opens The Straits Times in a new tab)

    She says officials forced her to sign Maria Corina Machado’s ban after arresting three relatives.

  3. Financial TimesCenterGBVery high factuality
    Nobel laureate Machado says Venezuela is ‘ready’ for new elections (opens Financial Times in a new tab)

    Exiled Nobel Peace Prize laureate demands ‘transparency’ over oil revenues after deal with Trump administration

  4. BloombergCenterUSVery high factuality
    Nobel Peace Prize Bets for Navalny Widow Miss the Mark (opens Bloomberg in a new tab)

    Bets for who will take home the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize surged in the hours before the announcement on Polymarket, echoing similar events a year ago when a website hacking likely leaked the winner’s name.

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